Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Red Star
22.2%
Draw
51.4%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Red Star
vs
1.70
Metz
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).