Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Dunkerque
17.3%
Draw
12.4%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Dunkerque
vs
0.74
Caen
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).