Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Andorra
23.6%
Draw
45.5%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Andorra
vs
1.68
Castellon
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).