Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Bournemouth
23.8%
Draw
14.0%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Bournemouth
vs
0.84
Wolves
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.6%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).