Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Sampdoria
30.6%
Draw
21.5%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Sampdoria
vs
0.82
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).