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AHT: 10CSV

12 Mar 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.1%
Scunthorpe
19.4%
Draw
69.5%
Colchester

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Scunthorpe

vs
1.94

Colchester

Markets

BTTS38.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.6%
0-2
14.7%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
7.4%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
0-4
4.6%
2-1
2.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).