Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Mainz
29.5%
Draw
24.1%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Mainz
vs
0.90
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).