Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Everton
31.4%
Draw
40.0%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Everton
vs
1.29
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).