Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Hednesford Town
30.4%
Draw
49.6%
Billericay Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Hednesford Town
vs
1.17
Billericay Town
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.553.3%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.8%
0-0
16.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-3
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).