Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Akhmat Grozny
28.5%
Draw
35.6%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Akhmat Grozny
vs
1.37
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).