Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Guimaraes
26.5%
Draw
26.2%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Guimaraes
vs
0.93
Aves
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.0%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).