Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Cagliari
26.2%
Draw
12.5%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Cagliari
vs
0.61
Trapani
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
14.2%
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).