Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Metz
16.8%
Draw
66.8%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Metz
vs
2.48
Monaco
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
0-3
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-3
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).