Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Bournemouth
25.9%
Draw
27.4%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Bournemouth
vs
1.35
Leeds
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).