Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.1%
Oviedo
18.2%
Draw
9.7%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Oviedo
vs
0.62
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
14.0%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
5.4%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).