Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Bristol City
29.8%
Draw
25.1%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Bristol City
vs
0.93
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).