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04 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Sutton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Braintree Town
32.7%
Draw
38.6%
Sutton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Braintree Town

vs
1.11

Sutton

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
13.5%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).