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01 Jan 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.7%
Sheffield United
23.1%
Draw
20.3%
Leicester

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Sheffield United

vs
1.14

Leicester

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).