Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Bochum
29.9%
Draw
34.1%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Bochum
vs
1.20
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).