Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Estrela
27.9%
Draw
20.9%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Estrela
vs
0.88
Boavista
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).