Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.3%
FC Koln
13.6%
Draw
9.1%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
FC Koln
vs
1.04
Hertha
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.558.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
4-1
6.3%
4-0
6.1%
1-1
5.6%
1-0
4.7%
3-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
5-1
3.9%
5-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).