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DHT: 11CSV

09 Nov 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.2%
Dender
28.8%
Draw
39.9%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Dender

vs
1.31

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).