Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.3%
Gateshead
11.2%
Draw
82.4%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Gateshead
vs
3.35
York
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.593.1%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.561.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
8.7%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
1-4
6.8%
0-5
4.8%
1-1
4.7%
1-5
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
2-3
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).