Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.4%
Auxerre
13.8%
Draw
8.7%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Auxerre
vs
0.68
Caen
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
11.0%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.7%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).