Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Lille
24.4%
Draw
37.9%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Lille
vs
1.43
Monaco
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
0-1
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).