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03 Jan 2026 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.9%
Le Mans
26.0%
Draw
35.1%
St Etienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Le Mans

vs
1.13

St Etienne

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).