Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Paris FC
20.0%
Draw
57.8%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Paris FC
vs
2.15
Marseille
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.7%
0-2
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).