Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Atalanta
24.2%
Draw
20.5%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Atalanta
vs
0.89
Bologna
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).