Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Verona
23.2%
Draw
33.5%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Verona
vs
1.45
Crotone
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).