Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Motherwell
32.1%
Draw
27.2%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Motherwell
vs
0.88
Hearts
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
14.2%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).