Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Nantes
21.9%
Draw
29.6%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Nantes
vs
1.35
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
0-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).