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27 Jan 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.3%
Osnabruck
23.2%
Draw
62.5%
Paderborn

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Osnabruck

vs
1.94

Paderborn

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.8%
0-1
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).