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DHT: 11

03 Aug 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.0%
Djurgården
21.4%
Draw
9.6%
Halmstad

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Djurgården

vs
0.63

Halmstad

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.4%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
1-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).