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AHT: 03CSV

19 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.3%
Metz
20.1%
Draw
33.6%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

2.06

Metz

vs
1.74

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS71.4%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.552.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
0-1
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
0-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).