Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Lazio
28.7%
Draw
22.4%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Lazio
vs
0.76
Brescia
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).