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31 Dec 2022 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
Albion Rvs
28.6%
Draw
30.5%
Dumbarton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Albion Rvs

vs
1.34

Dumbarton

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.2%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).