Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.0%
Udinese
17.7%
Draw
16.3%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Udinese
vs
1.14
Crotone
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).