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DHT: 11CSV

23 Jan 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.5%
Wrexham
32.0%
Draw
35.5%
Birmingham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Wrexham

vs
0.87

Birmingham

Markets

BTTS31.4%
Over 0.582.6%
Over 1.549.3%
Over 2.524.0%
Over 3.59.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.4%
0-1
17.2%
1-0
16.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
0-3
2.0%
3-0
1.7%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).