Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Numancia
25.2%
Draw
24.2%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Numancia
vs
0.99
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).