Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Korona Kielce
25.6%
Draw
16.9%
Nieciecza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Korona Kielce
vs
0.83
Nieciecza
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).