Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Leighton Town
14.7%
Draw
28.0%
Waltham Abbey
Expected Goals (xG)
3.80
Leighton Town
vs
2.82
Waltham Abbey
Markets
BTTS91.9%
Over 0.599.9%
Over 1.598.9%
Over 2.596.1%
Over 3.589.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2
4.9%
4-2
4.6%
3-3
4.6%
4-3
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
3.6%
5-2
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
5-3
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
3-4
3.2%
4-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).