Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Padova
28.4%
Draw
47.4%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Padova
vs
1.50
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).