Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.7%
Hearts
22.7%
Draw
10.6%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Hearts
vs
0.59
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
14.9%
1-1
10.2%
0-0
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).