Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Ipswich
27.4%
Draw
47.3%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Ipswich
vs
1.55
Leeds
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).