Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Famalicao
21.7%
Draw
15.9%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Famalicao
vs
0.76
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).