Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Denizlispor
29.6%
Draw
29.3%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Denizlispor
vs
1.37
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
0-1
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).