Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.3%
Guimaraes
17.1%
Draw
10.6%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Guimaraes
vs
0.69
AVS
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
1-0
12.6%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).