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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.5%
Kendal Town
17.2%
Draw
17.2%
Newcastle

Expected Goals (xG)

2.52

Kendal Town

vs
1.23

Newcastle

Markets

BTTS64.9%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.551.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-1
7.1%
3-0
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.9%
0-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).