Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Baltika Kaliningrad
38.0%
Draw
18.9%
Krasnodar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.55
Krasnodar
Markets
BTTS27.7%
Over 0.576.7%
Over 1.546.3%
Over 2.519.6%
Over 3.56.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
23.3%
1-0
19.8%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-0
3.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
2-2
1.6%
4-0
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).