Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
West Brom
29.1%
Draw
21.2%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
West Brom
vs
0.84
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.7%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).